Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.
FlatGroup 3
Naas · 16:00 · 8 runners · Group 3
Still 28/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 33/1 (32.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 16:08 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Ladbrokes
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Worcester. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 15:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +12.5 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 16:08 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · BetTom · 10 Bet
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Worcester. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 16:08 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Worcester. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 3lb below career-high OR 103.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+136% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 16:08 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Star Sports
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Worcester. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 9lb below career-high OR 105.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 16:38 · 8 runners · Handicap
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Brighton · 14:50 · 6 runners · Maiden
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 16:50 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 8/15 at 22 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet
5 firms had already cut to 4/9 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/7 (1.58)
SP: 1.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 16:20 · 7 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 79.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 15:50 · 16 runners · Handicap
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Brighton. 1/6 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
FlatGroup 3
Naas · 16:00 · 8 runners · Group 3
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
NH Flat
Worcester · 15:08 · 10 runners · Other
Still 33/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+209% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Worcester · 14:38 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
William Hill · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Naas · 16:30 · 19 runners · Handicap
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
FlatGroup 3
Naas · 16:00 · 8 runners · Group 3
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/8 (2.86)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Naas · 16:30 · 19 runners · Handicap
Still 11/4 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 58.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Worcester · 14:08 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Smarkets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-44% better than SP · -9.7 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 17:08 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Worcester · 14:08 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Worcester. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Naas · 16:30 · 19 runners · Handicap
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Naas · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 14:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 17lb. 6lb below career-high OR 55.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Naas · 16:30 · 19 runners · Handicap
23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 14lb. 16lb below career-high OR 76.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Naas · 15:30 · 15 runners · Maiden
Still 10/11 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright
6 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/5 (2.16)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
FlatGroup 3
Naas · 16:00 · 8 runners · Group 3
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Naas. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
HurdleMAIDEN
Worcester · 15:38 · 11 runners · Maiden
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -6.7 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Brighton · 14:50 · 6 runners · Maiden
Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -10.0 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 16:08 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook · Midnite
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -3.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 14:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 5/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 18lb. 7lb below career-high OR 59.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 16:20 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 15:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 11/8 at 8 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
12 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 71.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 13/8 (2.60)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -7.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Naas · 17:00 · 16 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Worcester · 14:38 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 7/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished BD
Alert price: 7/4 (2.74)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +5.5 probability points
HurdleMAIDEN
Worcester · 15:38 · 11 runners · Maiden
Still 15/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (2.94)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +25.9 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Brighton · 14:50 · 6 runners · Maiden
24 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 16:08 · 13 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 20lb. Career-high OR 105.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/3 (4.42)
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 17:08 · 13 runners · Handicap
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 16:38 · 8 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-55% better than SP · -10.9 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 16:38 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Worcester. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 7lb below career-high OR 122.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +11.0 probability points
