Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 3 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8337 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 13:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 18:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Salisbury · 13:53 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 19:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 16:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/4 (2.26)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Southwell (AW) · 18:10 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/15 → 2/5
Still 8/15 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/2 (1.50)
SP: 1.33
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:20 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Salisbury · 14:28 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Salisbury · 14:28 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Salisbury · 14:28 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/8 (2.36)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 3 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Salisbury · 15:39 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · 10 Bet · BetWright · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +12.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Newcastle (AW) · 15:59 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
20/1 → 11/1
Still 20/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 40/1 (42.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Salisbury · 13:53 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/1 on Good To Soft.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Southwell (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+148% better than SP · +25.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Haydock · 14:05 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 3 Sept 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Kilbeggan · 15:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
6 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +14.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -5.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 15:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 19:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 16:35 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 17:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Kilbeggan · 19:18 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
Still 25/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+373% better than SP · +14.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Kilbeggan · 18:48 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/1 → 13/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Salisbury · 15:03 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
17 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Kilbeggan · 18:48 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Haydock · 15:52 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Dragon Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 16:25 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 17:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 15:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
4 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (2.98)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -8.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 3 Sept 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Kilbeggan · 16:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 7/4
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kilbeggan. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 13:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 7/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 14lb. 17lb below career-high OR 86.
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 13:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet Victor · BetMGM · Unibet · Smarkets · BetWright · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 17lb. 5lb below career-high OR 73.
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:20 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 3/7 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:55 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +21.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 13:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 13:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 19:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+135% better than SP · +14.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 3 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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