Pavilion End · Punchestown 14:10

Published 13 October 2026 · Updated 13 October 2026 · HorseWhale

At 14:06 on 13 October 2026, 23 bookmakers cut Pavilion End from 11/2 to 9/2 for the 14:10 at Punchestown. When the move was recorded, Matchbook and Smarkets still showed 11/2. This alert fired on a final pre-off move, with at least one book still at the old price when it went out.

Graded record

HurdleHANDICAP

Pavilion End

Punchestown · 14:10 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Money Flow

50/100

Risks

• Up 25lb. Career-high OR 104.

Previously on record

Alerted 18 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.2 probability points

Fired 14:06, 13 Oct 2026

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