At 09:47 on 8 October 2026, 23 bookmakers cut Queen Aethelflaed from 15/2 to 13/2 in the 15:01 at Thurles. At the time of the alert, 8/1 was still available at Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 5.00, making the alert price +80% better than SP, or +8.9 probability points. It finished 3 of 14, beaten 2 lengths.
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Thurles · 15:01 · 14 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Alerts rated Top won 26% and placed 53% in HorseWhale’s current record
Why it rates
• Thurles. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 6lb below career-high OR 66.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Fired 09:47, 8 Oct 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:47 on 8 October 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
23 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
8/1 at Hollywood Bets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Thurles. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 6lb below career-high OR 66.
Outcome and grade
PLACED · SP: 5.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
