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State Express · Southwell (AW) 17:00
Published 8 October 2026 · Updated 8 October 2026 · HorseWhale
At 13:44 on 8 October 2026, 20 bookmakers cut State Express from 13/2 to 11/2 in the 17:00 at Southwell (AW). At the time of the alert, 13/2 was still available at Star Sports, William Hill, Matchbook, Smarkets, BetTom and Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 10.00, making the alert price -20% better than SP, or -2.5 probability points. It won by 0.75.
Graded receipt
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Alerts rated Medium won 11% and placed 38% in HorseWhale’s current record
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Fired 13:44, 8 Oct 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
13:44 on 8 October 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
20 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
13/2 at Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
WON · SP: 10.00 · Beat SP: No
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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