At 09:29 on 8 October 2026, 15 bookmakers cut Nostrum from 15/8 to 6/4 in the 20:30 at Southwell (AW). At the time of the alert, 15/8 was still available at Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 1.91, making the alert price +52% better than SP, or +17.9 probability points. It finished 3 of 12, beaten 0.5 lengths.
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 15/8 at 2 firms when alerted
15 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Alerts rated Top won 26% and placed 53% in HorseWhale’s current record
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 31lb below career-high OR 111.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Oct · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/8 (2.90)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +17.9 probability points
Fired 09:29, 8 Oct 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:29 on 8 October 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
15 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
15/8 at Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 31lb below career-high OR 111.
Outcome and grade
PLACED · SP: 1.91 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
