At 09:32 on 8 October 2026, 25 bookmakers cut Man of Desert from 11/1 to 9/1 in the 19:30 at Southwell (AW). At the time of the alert, 11/1 was still available at Matchbook. The race returned an SP of 15.00, making the alert price -17% better than SP, or -1.3 probability points. It finished 7 of 12, beaten 9.25 lengths.
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Alerts rated Medium won 11% and placed 38% in HorseWhale’s current record
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Fired 09:32, 8 Oct 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:32 on 8 October 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
25 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
11/1 at Matchbook
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 15.00 · Beat SP: No
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
