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Ernie's Valentine · Southwell (AW) 19:30
Published 8 October 2026 · Updated 8 October 2026 · HorseWhale
At 09:20 on 8 October 2026, 18 bookmakers cut Ernie's Valentine from 4/1 to 7/2 in the 19:30 at Southwell (AW). At the time of the alert, 4/1 was still available at Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 4.33, making the alert price +20% better than SP, or +3.9 probability points. It finished 3 of 12, beaten 2 lengths.
Graded receipt
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Alerts rated Top won 26% and placed 53% in HorseWhale’s current record
Risks
• Up 9lb. 10lb below career-high OR 73.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Fired 09:20, 8 Oct 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:20 on 8 October 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
18 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
4/1 at Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Risks
• Up 9lb. 10lb below career-high OR 73.
Outcome and grade
PLACED · SP: 4.33 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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