At 13:50 on 8 October 2026, 13 bookmakers cut Thickthorn Tom from 4/1 to 7/2 in the 15:41 at Market Rasen. At the time of the alert, 4/1 was still available at Betfred, Smarkets, 10 Bet and Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 6.50, making the alert price -18% better than SP, or -3.5 probability points. It finished 4 of 4, beaten 65.25 lengths.
🟢 STRONG Chase HANDICAP
Market Rasen · 15:41 · 4 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Alerts rated Strong won 19% and placed 44% in HorseWhale’s current record
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 117.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -3.5 probability points
Fired 13:50, 8 Oct 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
13:50 on 8 October 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
13 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
4/1 at Betfred · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 117.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 6.50 · Beat SP: No
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
