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Topwarrior · Ayr 15:30
Published 8 October 2026 · Updated 8 October 2026 · HorseWhale
At 09:47 on 8 October 2026, 20 bookmakers cut Topwarrior from 4/1 to 7/2 in the 15:30 at Ayr. At the time of the alert, 4/1 was still available at Star Sports, Unibet, Matchbook, Smarkets and Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 3.25, making the alert price +63% better than SP, or +11.9 probability points. It finished 4 of 11, beaten 1.25 lengths.
Graded receipt
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Ayr · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Alerts rated Top won 26% and placed 53% in HorseWhale’s current record
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +11.9 probability points
Fired 09:47, 8 Oct 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:47 on 8 October 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
20 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
4/1 at Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 3.25 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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