At 10:44 on 8 October 2026, 14 bookmakers cut Sea Mirage from 5/2 to 9/4 in the 14:20 at Ayr. At the time of the alert, 5/2 was still available at Bet365, Unibet, William Hill, 10 Bet, BetTom, Hollywood Bets, Matchbook, Quinn Bet and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 3.75, making the alert price -7% better than SP, or -1.9 probability points. It finished 2 of 7, beaten 0.05 lengths.
🔵 TOP Flat
Ayr · 14:20 · 7 runners · Other
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
14 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Alerts rated Top won 26% and placed 53% in HorseWhale’s current record
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
• First-time p.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 76.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Fired 10:44, 8 Oct 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
10:44 on 8 October 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
14 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
5/2 at Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
• First-time p.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 76.
Outcome and grade
PLACED · SP: 3.75 · Beat SP: No
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
