At 09:17 on 8 October 2026, 23 bookmakers cut Penelope's Sister from 7/1 to 11/2 in the 16:38 at Ayr. At the time of the alert, 7/1 was still available at Matchbook. The race returned an SP of 6.00, making the alert price +33% better than SP, or +4.2 probability points. It finished 5 of 13, beaten 8.5 lengths.
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
Ayr · 16:38 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Alerts rated Medium won 11% and placed 38% in HorseWhale’s current record
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Ayr. 1/18 at this course.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 11lb below career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Fired 09:17, 8 Oct 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:17 on 8 October 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
23 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
7/1 at Matchbook
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Ayr. 1/18 at this course.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 11lb below career-high OR 68.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 6.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
