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Empirestateofmind · Ayr 16:05
Published 8 October 2026 · Updated 8 October 2026 · HorseWhale
At 10:32 on 8 October 2026, 6 bookmakers cut Empirestateofmind from 2/1 to 7/4 in the 16:05 at Ayr. At the time of the alert, 2/1 was still available at Matchbook, Smarkets and BetTom. The race returned an SP of 2.38, making the alert price +28% better than SP, or +9.2 probability points. It finished 2 of 10, beaten 0.5 lengths.
Graded receipt
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Ayr · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
6 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Alerts rated Top won 26% and placed 53% in HorseWhale’s current record
Why it rates
• Ayr. 3/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.05)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +9.2 probability points
Fired 10:32, 8 Oct 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
10:32 on 8 October 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
6 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
2/1 at Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Ayr. 3/3 at this course.
Outcome and grade
PLACED · SP: 2.38 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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