At 13:06 on 28 September 2026, 15 bookmakers cut Bay Breeze from 4/1 to 7/2 in the 13:44 at Hamilton. At the time of the alert, 4/1 was still available at Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 3.75, making the alert price +36% better than SP, or +7.1 probability points. It won by 0.5.
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Hamilton · 13:44 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 19lb. 16lb below career-high OR 74.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Fired 13:06, 28 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
13:06 on 28 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
15 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
4/1 at Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 19lb. 16lb below career-high OR 74.
Outcome and grade
WON · SP: 3.75 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
