At 09:12 on 23 September 2026, 23 bookmakers cut Thinthread from 20/1 to 14/1 in the 20:00 at Kempton (AW). The race returned an SP of 11.00, making the alert price +36% better than SP, or +2.4 probability points. It finished 4 of 8, beaten 7.75 lengths.
⚪ LOW Flat HANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 6lb below career-high OR 88.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Fired 09:12, 23 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:12 on 23 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
23 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 6lb below career-high OR 88.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 11.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
