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Tio Joao · Fairyhouse 15:50
Published 21 September 2026 · Updated 21 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 10:06 on 21 September 2026, 14 bookmakers cut Tio Joao from 11/1 to 11/2 in the 15:50 at Fairyhouse. At the time of the alert, 12/1 was still available at Bet365, Coral, Ladbrokes, William Hill, Matchbook and Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 6.00, making the alert price +150% better than SP, or +10.0 probability points. It finished 5 of 6, beaten 8.75 lengths.
Graded receipt
⚪ LOW Flat
Fairyhouse · 15:50 · 6 runners · Other
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+150% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Fired 10:06, 21 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
10:06 on 21 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
14 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
12/1 at Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
Context at the time
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 6.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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