Project Kinsman · Newcastle (AW) 16:45

Published 19 September 2026 · Updated 19 September 2026 · HorseWhale

At 11:07 on 19 September 2026, 22 bookmakers cut Project Kinsman from 12/1 to 10/1 in the 16:45 at Newcastle (AW). At the time of the alert, 12/1 was still available at Hollywood Bets, Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 10.00, making the alert price +30% better than SP, or +2.3 probability points. It finished 10 of 11, beaten 11.5 lengths.

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Project Kinsman

Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Fired 11:07, 19 Sept 2026

What this record shows

This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.

Alert recorded

11:07 on 19 September 2026

Horse and race

Project Kinsman · Newcastle (AW) · 16:45

Observed move

12/1 → 10/1

Qualifying bookmaker movement

22 bookmakers had cut when alerted

Earlier price still recorded

12/1 at Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

Context at the time

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Outcome and grade

LOST · SP: 10.00 · Beat SP: Yes

A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.

Project Kinsman · Newcastle (AW) 16:45

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