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Atmosphere · Ayr 15:30
Published 17 September 2026 · Updated 17 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 07:30 on 17 September 2026, 21 bookmakers cut Atmosphere from 11/2 to 9/2 in the 15:30 at Ayr. At the time of the alert, 6/1 was still available at Matchbook, Hollywood Bets and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 5.50, making the alert price +24% better than SP, or +3.5 probability points. It finished 11 of 12, beaten 19.25 lengths.
Graded receipt
🟢 STRONG Flat HANDICAP
Ayr · 15:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:30 on 17 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
21 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
6/1 at Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 5.50 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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