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Capital Guarantee · Thirsk 17:35
Published 5 September 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 12:15 on 5 September 2026, 23 bookmakers cut Capital Guarantee from 17/2 to 15/2 in the 17:35 at Thirsk. At the time of the alert, 17/2 was still available at Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 5.00, making the alert price +90% better than SP, or +9.5 probability points. It finished 3 of 8, beaten 1.25 lengths.
Graded receipt
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
Thirsk · 17:35 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Thirsk. 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+90% better than SP · +9.5 probability points
Fired 12:15, 5 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
12:15 on 5 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
23 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
17/2 at Hollywood Bets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Thirsk. 1/3 at this course.
Outcome and grade
PLACED · SP: 5.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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