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Blackwater Lilly · Stratford 19:15
Published 5 September 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 09:42 on 5 September 2026, 22 bookmakers cut Blackwater Lilly from 13/2 to 5/1 in the 19:15 at Stratford. At the time of the alert, 13/2 was still available at Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 5.50, making the alert price +35% better than SP, or +4.7 probability points. It finished 3 of 9, beaten 11.5 lengths.
Graded receipt
🟢 STRONG Hurdle HANDICAP
Stratford · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. 9lb below career-high OR 104.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Fired 09:42, 5 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:42 on 5 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
22 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
13/2 at Smarkets
Context at the time
Risks
• Up 11lb. 9lb below career-high OR 104.
Outcome and grade
PLACED · SP: 5.50 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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