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Storm Esme · Newcastle (AW) 19:00
Published 5 September 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 17:54 on 5 September 2026, 22 bookmakers cut Storm Esme from 9/1 to 15/2 in the 19:00 at Newcastle (AW). At the time of the alert, 10/1 was still available at Matchbook, Smarkets and Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 10.00, making the alert price +15% better than SP, or +1.3 probability points. It won by 1.5.
Graded receipt
⚪ LOW Flat HANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 19:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Fired 17:54, 5 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
17:54 on 5 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
22 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
10/1 at Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Outcome and grade
WON · SP: 10.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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