At 18:32 on 7 August 2026, 29 bookmakers cut Numidia from 6/1 to 5/1 in the 20:30 at Gowran Park. The race returned an SP of 6.00, making the alert price +27% better than SP, or +3.5 probability points. It finished 8 of 9.
Sent under an earlier detection ruleset, when the panel included firms that are not fixed-odds bookmakers. Prices and counts shown are as sent.
FlatHANDICAP
Gowran Park · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
29 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 7.98
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Fired 18:32, 7 Aug 2026
