York

Every steam move alert fired at York, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 22 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

121

alerts

84%

beat SP

+4.4

avg probability points vs SP

FlatHANDICAP

Vantage Code

York · 14:25 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 12/1

Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hopewell Rock

York · 15:35 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Emit

York · 15:35 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Infraad

York · 14:25 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

9 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mythical Bay

York · 14:25 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+96% better than SP · +9.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 22 Aug 2026

FlatListed

Dubai Champion

York · 16:45 · 11 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · Coral · Betano · BetTom · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · BresBet · Midnite · Matchbook

14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Diego El Queso

York · 17:20 · 20 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 18
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 22 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 1

Ten Bob Tony

York · 15:00 · 14 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 17 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betfred · Star Sports · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet

4 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Love Me Tender

York · 15:35 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power

17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+51% better than SP · +7.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Raammee

York · 17:20 · 20 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Matchbook · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Smarkets

12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• York. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+68% better than SP · +15.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dance In The Storm

York · 16:10 · 20 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power

11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +7.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Limestone

York · 14:25 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power

20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +7.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 1

Notable Speech

York · 15:00 · 14 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook

14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +9.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Aug 2026

FlatListed

Adonius

York · 16:45 · 11 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Master Builder

York · 16:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• York. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:02, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 1

Mission Central

York · 15:35 · 18 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

8/1 → 7/1

Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · BetWright · Dragon Bet

23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 115.

RESULT
LOST · finished 16
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:26, 21 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Oklahoma

York · 16:45 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

2/1 → 13/8

Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

6 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:14, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Mount Atlas

York · 14:25 · 8 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
talkSPORT BET · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• York. 1/3 at this course.

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:14, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Never Enough

York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom · Matchbook

12 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:09, 21 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Launch Sequence

York · 16:45 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · talkSPORT BET · Virgin Bet

10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:45, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Zennor Storm

York · 13:50 · 19 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Dragon Bet

10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:39, 21 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Lancaster Tower

York · 16:45 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 13 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · talkSPORT BET · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:14, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Exclusive Code

York · 13:50 · 19 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 17
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:08, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Outback Heat

York · 13:50 · 19 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · talkSPORT BET

23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:41, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sharpen

York · 17:20 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

50/1 → 25/1

Still 50/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.

Risks

• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 96.

RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 150/1 (140.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+241% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:26, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 1

Rayevka

York · 15:35 · 18 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 11lb. 2lb below career-high OR 110.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +4.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:50, 21 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Speyside

York · 16:45 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Betano · BresBet · Matchbook · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:41, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Adaay of Scarlett

York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetWright · Quinn Bet

17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:29, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 1

Night Raider

York · 15:35 · 18 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 112.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:23, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Caballo De Mar

York · 14:25 · 8 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · talkSPORT BET

5 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +3.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:20, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Amiloc

York · 14:25 · 8 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 17 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · BresBet · Paddy Power · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

6 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:08, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Plage De Havre

York · 16:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · talkSPORT BET · BetTom · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power

18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• York. 0/2 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Agamemnon

York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Hell Of A Spin

York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
talkSPORT BET · Matchbook · Smarkets

25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Arapaho Gold

York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +8.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Final Objective

York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

14/1 → 10/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
talkSPORT BET

25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bearish

York · 13:50 · 19 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
talkSPORT BET · Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+183% better than SP · +10.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Janey Mackers

York · 17:20 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 92.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lady Dora Mae

York · 17:20 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 7/2

Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · talkSPORT BET · Matchbook · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Marco Polo

York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Ladbrokes · talkSPORT BET · Smarkets · Matchbook

9 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +15.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 21 Aug 2026

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