Stratford

Every steam move alert fired at Stratford, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 25 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

alerts

68%

beat SP

+3.4

avg probability points vs SP

ChaseHANDICAP

Seeyouinmydreams

Stratford · 18:15 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 25 Aug 2026

NH Flat

Roccana Rose

Stratford · 19:45 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/4 → 11/8

Still 7/4 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

4 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.86)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 25 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

T Or Coffey

Stratford · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 20lb. 2lb below career-high OR 107.

• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 25 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Bobbarelli

Stratford · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 102.

• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +4.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 25 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Kings Order

Stratford · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 25 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Duke Of Luckley

Stratford · 18:15 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 25 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Miss Fedora

Stratford · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 25 Aug 2026

NH Flat

Talladale

Stratford · 19:45 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom

17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 25 Aug 2026

NH Flat

Goliath Power

Stratford · 19:45 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+66% better than SP · +12.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 25 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Juggernaut

Stratford · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 25 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Steal A Glance

Stratford · 17:10 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

17/2 → 7/1

Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 25 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Youdecide

Stratford · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

7 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 99.

• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +13.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 25 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Mi Sueno

Stratford · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets

8 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +8.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 25 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

French Diablo

Stratford · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/4 → 11/10

Still 5/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Paddy Power

13 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted

Why it rates

• Stratford. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 82.

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 5/4 (2.28)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +16.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Illogical Logic

Stratford · 19:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 7/1

Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

25 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 19:03, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Eyeeye

Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

40/1 → 28/1

Still 40/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 50/1 (55.00)
SP: 67.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:58, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Versatile

Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets

16 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:46, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Notnowlinda

Stratford · 18:06 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:18, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Glenmalure Flyer

Stratford · 19:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

5 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:46, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Crebilly

Stratford · 18:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:31, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Magistrato

Stratford · 18:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook

12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Kittys Glance

Stratford · 18:06 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook

15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +10.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

The Kings Soldier

Stratford · 19:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · BresBet · Paddy Power

21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Torrent

Stratford · 18:06 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

26 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Clever Relation

Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 15/2

Still 10/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -3.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Diesel Line

Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet

20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Reteti

Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 4/1

Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet

16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +8.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Jet Patrol

Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 5/1

Still 13/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Lord Cauvelliere

Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 7/1

Still 9/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet

16 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Mayday Games

Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 4/1

18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Northern Rose

Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 9/2

Still 13/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Yes And Yes

Stratford · 19:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 20 Aug 2026

Hurdle

Porcupine Bank

Stratford · 17:35 · 2 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/9 → 1/3

Still 4/9 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets

5 firms had already cut to 1/3 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 4/9 (1.44)
SP: 1.30
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +7.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Krak

Stratford · 19:06 · 3 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet

13 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Winning Paddy

Stratford · 19:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Flashy Boy

Stratford · 19:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Parisencore

Stratford · 18:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 13/2

Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 20 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Berry Edge

Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

14 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Captain Cool

Stratford · 18:36 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · BresBet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook

14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 20 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Samuel Spade

Stratford · 19:06 · 3 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power

9 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +11.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 20 Aug 2026

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