Southwell (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Southwell (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 7 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

227

alerts

72%

beat SP

+3.3

avg probability points vs SP

FlatHANDICAP

Lady Fizz

Southwell (AW) · 17:04 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 6/1

30 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 19.00
BSP: 22.57
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:49, 6 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Zermatt Star

Southwell (AW) · 18:06 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

28/1 → 25/1

28 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 34.00
BSP: 47.38
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:49, 6 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Speckled Brown

Southwell (AW) · 17:34 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

50/1 → 40/1

Still 50/1 at 7 firms when alerted
BetTom · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · 10 Bet

12 firms had already cut to 40/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 51.00
BSP: 77.03
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:56, 6 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mist of Time

Southwell (AW) · 17:04 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 14/1

Still 16/1 at 14 firms when alerted
William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · Unibet · BetTom · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

5 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 14.43
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:33, 6 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Retro Rocket

Southwell (AW) · 17:04 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

33/1 → 25/1

Still 33/1 at 7 firms when alerted
BetTom · Grosvenor Sports · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BetMGM

19 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 51.00
BSP: 70.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:18, 6 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Distinction

Southwell (AW) · 21:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 9/1

30 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:33, 6 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Per Contra

Southwell (AW) · 20:26 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 10/1

32 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 6 Aug 2026

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