Southwell (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Southwell (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 17 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

227

alerts

72%

beat SP

+3.3

avg probability points vs SP

FlatHANDICAP

Federal Envoy

Southwell (AW) · 17:10 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · PricedUp Bet · BetTom · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 7.60
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:49, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Blackjack

Southwell (AW) · 17:10 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 23.00
BSP: 36.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:43, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cliff Danger

Southwell (AW) · 13:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Betfred · Ladbrokes · PricedUp Bet

4 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 9.59
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:34, 16 Aug 2026

Flat

Blue Boy Junior

Southwell (AW) · 14:35 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
BSP: 32.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:25, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Aurora Majesty

Southwell (AW) · 15:40 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 11/1

Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds · 7Bet

20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 19.00
BSP: 19.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:22, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Implied Volatility

Southwell (AW) · 14:00 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

33/1 → 18/1

26 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 23.40
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:10, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Love You More

Southwell (AW) · 14:00 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 6.76
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:10, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Timebar

Southwell (AW) · 14:00 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

26 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 7.80
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:10, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Legal Reform

Southwell (AW) · 15:40 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 29.00
BSP: 80.00
Beat SP: No
-41% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:04, 16 Aug 2026

Flat

Savile Row

Southwell (AW) · 15:10 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Midnite · PricedUp Bet

26 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
BSP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:01, 16 Aug 2026

Flat

Prosperity

Southwell (AW) · 15:10 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

8/13 → 1/2

Still 8/13 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright

4 firms had already cut to 1/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/13 (1.62)
SP: 1.67
BSP: 1.82
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:52, 16 Aug 2026

Flat

Palladas

Southwell (AW) · 14:35 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

1/3 → 1/4

Still 1/3 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · PricedUp Bet

6 firms had already cut to 1/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/3 (1.33)
SP: 1.18
BSP: 1.21
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +9.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:52, 16 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Iron Dome

Southwell (AW) · 16:10 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 9.50
BSP: 12.50
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 16 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Mr G Force

Southwell (AW) · 16:40 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

33/1 → 20/1

Still 33/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetTom · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

16 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 16.00
Beat SP: Yes
+162% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:43, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Skipper

Southwell (AW) · 15:40 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

26 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 18.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:40, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Domination

Southwell (AW) · 13:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:34, 16 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Extended Credit

Southwell (AW) · 16:10 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · BetTom · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

16 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 15.07
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:31, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Divine Libra

Southwell (AW) · 15:40 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 16/1

Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 15.00
BSP: 20.68
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:16, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Midnight Thunder

Southwell (AW) · 15:40 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
BSP: 13.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:16, 16 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Cosmic Girl

Southwell (AW) · 16:40 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:13, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Barleybrown

Southwell (AW) · 14:00 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetTom · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite

19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 13.85
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:07, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Wonder

Southwell (AW) · 13:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

25 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 10.13
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 16 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Space Party

Southwell (AW) · 16:10 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

8 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.20
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mdawi (A)

Southwell (AW) · 17:40 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 3/1

5 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 4.40
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jindri

Southwell (AW) · 13:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 10/1

23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.00
BSP: 10.53
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Yaa Min

Southwell (AW) · 13:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet · Quinn Bet

13 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
BSP: 7.73
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 16 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Storm Force

Southwell (AW) · 16:10 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/2 → 85/40

Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet · BetWright

18 firms had already cut to 85/40 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 16 Aug 2026

Flat

Al Jolson

Southwell (AW) · 15:10 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 16 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · Midnite

11 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.50
BSP: 3.10
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +11.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Astrological

Southwell (AW) · 13:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/4 → 6/4

Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Unibet

5 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.38
BSP: 2.54
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 16 Aug 2026

Flat

Sotto Il Sasso

Southwell (AW) · 15:10 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sovereign Ocean

Southwell (AW) · 15:40 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · BetAhoy · Octobet

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 5.06
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 16 Aug 2026

Flat

Assiri Heights

Southwell (AW) · 14:35 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Quinn Bet · BetTom · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite

14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 16 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Poison Arrow

Southwell (AW) · 16:10 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 5/2

Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill

24 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.40
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:27, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Heretic

Southwell (AW) · 14:00 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 8.87
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:27, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lesley's Boy

Southwell (AW) · 17:10 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 8/1

25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 8.60
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:27, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Tough Enough

Southwell (AW) · 17:10 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 4/1

25 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 4.56
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:27, 16 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Yordan

Southwell (AW) · 16:40 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

Still 15/8 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

22 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.20
BSP: 2.34
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +10.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:27, 16 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Junkyard Dog

Southwell (AW) · 21:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Grosvenor Sports · BetMGM · BestOdds

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 20:29, 6 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Titainium

Southwell (AW) · 21:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

Still 12/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Grosvenor Sports · BetMGM · BetWright · Dragon Bet · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BresBet · BestOdds · Star Sports · 10 Bet

18 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 8.50
BSP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+171% better than SP · +7.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 20:29, 6 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Spinning Wheel

Southwell (AW) · 20:26 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · 7Bet · Quinn Bet

11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 4.90
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 20:17, 6 Aug 2026

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