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Listowel

Every steam move alert fired at Listowel, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 23 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
111
alerts
76%
beat SP
+4.2
avg probability points vs SP
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Hi Ho Idaho
Listowel · 15:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:33, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Cooladdi
Listowel · 15:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:36, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
Miss Doyenne
Listowel · 16:47 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Glin Road Boy
Listowel · 15:05 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
85/40 → 7/4
Still 85/40 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Midnite
4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +14.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Humble Brag
Listowel · 15:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Lunar Landscape
Listowel · 15:05 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Young Doran
Listowel · 17:22 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
Lady Bluebird
Listowel · 16:47 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdle
Cosmos d'Ainay
Listowel · 14:30 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 13/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Columbus
Listowel · 14:30 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/8 → 8/13
Still 11/8 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 19lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +13.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Rond Point
Listowel · 17:22 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdle
Beir Bua
Listowel · 14:30 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 7/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdle
Golden Handshake
Listowel · 14:30 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 7/2
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+173% better than SP · +21.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Caher Roes Den
Listowel · 15:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · Betano · BetTom
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Love Me Tender
Listowel · 13:55 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/2 → 4/11
Still 1/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/15 (1.53)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAPGrade 3
Downmexicoway
Listowel · 16:15 · 18 runners · Grade 3
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Tyson Fury
Listowel · 13:55 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · BetTom · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
New Grange
Listowel · 17:22 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
Still 1/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 21/20 (2.04)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
La Note Verte
Listowel · 16:47 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
Still 1/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAPGrade 3
Nowwhatdoyouthink
Listowel · 16:15 · 18 runners · Grade 3
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Jagged Edge
Listowel · 15:32 · 11 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:51, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Loughrea N Roll
Listowel · 13:47 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
7 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:42, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Apache Outlaw
Listowel · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:27, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Brains
Listowel · 14:22 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+69% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
She's On The Ball
Listowel · 14:22 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 48.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Speakers Corner
Listowel · 13:47 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time b.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Lord Aus
Listowel · 17:16 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 8 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Huff'n'puff
Listowel · 17:16 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 85.
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Oristown Boy
Listowel · 16:07 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Letmeentertainyou
Listowel · 16:07 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Glyndwr
Listowel · 16:41 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Go Athletico
Listowel · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Highbury See See
Listowel · 16:41 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Morehampton
Listowel · 16:41 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Galileo Noir
Listowel · 16:41 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Green Kite
Listowel · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 7/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
19 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Cisterna
Listowel · 14:22 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 8lb below career-high OR 66.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Vantage Code
Listowel · 17:16 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 15lb. 1lb below career-high OR 84.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Count Bezukhov
Listowel · 17:16 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +12.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bay of Stars
Listowel · 17:16 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 13lb. 1lb below career-high OR 86.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 22 Sept 2026
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