Kempton (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Kempton (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 19 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

266

alerts

76%

beat SP

+4.3

avg probability points vs SP

FlatHANDICAP

Generous Rascal

Kempton (AW) · 21:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · 7Bet · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Betano · Midnite · Quinn Bet

16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Slack Bob

Kempton (AW) · 21:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 8 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Betfred · Bet365 · 7Bet · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Talis Evolvere

Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Bet365 · BetMGM · 7Bet · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet · BetTom · Midnite

11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 19 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Mile End Road

Kempton (AW) · 17:25 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Racingbreaks Ryder

Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite

4 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Darn Hot Gallop

Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chapter

Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lucky Camino

Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Helm Rock

Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 15/2

23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lake Como

Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/4 → 6/4

Still 7/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Quinn Bet · Smarkets

11 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Obsidian Verse

Kempton (AW) · 21:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · BetWright · Betano · talkSPORT BET

20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Exposure

Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetWright · Dragon Bet

19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Aug 2026

Flat

Liberate

Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook

14 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Victory Ace

Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+115% better than SP · +16.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Flag Of St George

Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 11.00
BSP: 12.26
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 18:20, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Peter The Wolf

Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 21.33
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:56, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Eljowhary

Kempton (AW) · 21:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

28/1 → 18/1

26 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 29.00
BSP: 46.00
Beat SP: No
-34% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:26, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Orchid

Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 15.30
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:56, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Imperial Decision

Kempton (AW) · 21:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

66/1 → 28/1

26 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 81.00
BSP: 130.00
Beat SP: No
-64% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:17, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kitaro Kich

Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:53, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Foreseen

Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 9.20
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:50, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Percy's Lad

Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

26 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 6.28
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:47, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Longlai

Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

28/1 → 16/1

26 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 21.00
BSP: 29.68
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:05, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Metal Merchant

Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:02, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kiniro

Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

26 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:56, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

The Green Mile

Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 13/2

26 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:26, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Maestro Del Mar

Kempton (AW) · 21:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

26 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.42
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +11.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:13, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

San Juanito

Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

100/1 → 40/1

Still 100/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

22 firms had already cut to 40/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 100/1 (101.00)
SP: 101.00
BSP: 240.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:01, 12 Aug 2026

Flat

Ladykirk

Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetTom · talkSPORT BET · Betano · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.77
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:01, 12 Aug 2026

Flat

Sweltering

Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/1 → 8/1

24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.50
BSP: 11.86
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:49, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rogue Allegiance

Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

26 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 7.40
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:40, 12 Aug 2026

Flat

Friendly Force

Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

26 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 15.00
BSP: 19.30
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:07, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Final Night

Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

24 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.27
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:55, 12 Aug 2026

Flat

Please Don't Go

Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/1 → 6/1

Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 16.50
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:55, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Beauty By My Side

Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

50/1 → 25/1

26 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 25/1 (27.50)
SP: 34.00
BSP: 58.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:49, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dapper Guest

Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 9.28
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:49, 12 Aug 2026

Flat

Miss Miniver

Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano · PricedUp Bet

11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
BSP: 4.79
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:49, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Classical Allusion

Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 6.50
BSP: 10.81
Beat SP: Yes
+162% better than SP · +9.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:31, 12 Aug 2026

Flat

Arrivera

Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 11.00
BSP: 14.45
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Gallant

Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 4.76
Beat SP: Yes
+96% better than SP · +11.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 12 Aug 2026

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