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Ffos Las

Every steam move alert fired at Ffos Las, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 21 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
145
alerts
70%
beat SP
+3.1
avg probability points vs SP
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Whiteley Way
Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
7 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:27, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Ongombo
Ffos Las · 14:38 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:40, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Lucky Radar
Ffos Las · 16:19 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Bet Victor · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:46, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Elora Prince
Ffos Las · 17:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:07, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Beechwood Glory
Ffos Las · 14:04 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:01, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Rogers Dream
Ffos Las · 17:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
William Hill · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +15.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:55, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Connie's Rose
Ffos Las · 15:09 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Reddy
Ffos Las · 14:38 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +13.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Green Falcon
Ffos Las · 15:44 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Just An Hour
Ffos Las · 15:44 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Flash Bardot
Ffos Las · 15:44 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Mick The Hat
Ffos Las · 17:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 14/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Summer Evening
Ffos Las · 17:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Gilded Call
Ffos Las · 14:38 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Harry's Pop
Ffos Las · 14:04 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Captain Cairney
Ffos Las · 15:44 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Up The Anti
Ffos Las · 15:09 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Wellwhatshappenin
Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
King of The Dance
Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Happier
Ffos Las · 15:09 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
6 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 2lb below career-high OR 62.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Circle of Secrets
Ffos Las · 16:19 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Georg Zhukov
Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Reece's Call
Ffos Las · 14:38 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Bay of Myths
Ffos Las · 15:44 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Call Time
Ffos Las · 15:09 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +15.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Aerial Silk
Ffos Las · 16:19 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Heavy vs Good. First run on this going.
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Scarfo
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 5/2
Still 7/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 16lb. Career-high OR 55.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Grimese's Special
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 15lb below career-high OR 67.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Zambezi Magic
Ffos Las · 17:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
18 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Ffos Las. 2/8 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +7.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Angel's Call
Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Chief Minister
Ffos Las · 14:04 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Arvana Belle
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 3/1
Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +12.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Private Officer
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 11/2
Still 8/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Equion
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 11/4
Still 7/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Star Sports · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 17lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +9.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Resemblance
Ffos Las · 14:04 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Maximus Meridius
Ffos Las · 14:04 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Paddy Power
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Heavy vs Good. First run on this going.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Who Is Alice
Ffos Las · 16:52 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 11/2
Still 8/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hibernate
Ffos Las · 16:55 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:25, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ivat Ghia
Ffos Las · 16:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:19, 28 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Graniteville
Ffos Las · 15:10 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/2
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:07, 28 Aug 2026
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