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Cartmel

Every steam move alert fired at Cartmel, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 31 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
70
alerts
69%
beat SP
+3.2
avg probability points vs SP
HurdleHANDICAP
Fairlawn Skipper
Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:38, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Kayf Dancer
Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:23, 31 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Lynxman
Cartmel · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
66/1 → 28/1
Still 66/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 27lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 80/1 (85.00)
SP: 101.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:17, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Passengerontheship
Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:08, 31 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Wicksey
Cartmel · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
6 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Risks
• Up 23lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/8 (2.56)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:01, 31 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Vietnorm
Cartmel · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
Still 1/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
7 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished RO
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:36, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Karnaval Point
Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 31 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Watcha Snoop
Cartmel · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
Still 25/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 20lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 31 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Time Twister
Cartmel · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 30lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Belles Benefit
Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Sean Og
Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 2/9 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Al Sayah
Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Betano · BetWright · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 20lb. Career-high OR 125.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Shallow River
Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 127.
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Nottodaybobo
Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Divilabother
Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 124.
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Forcetoreckonwith
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Jack Sprat
Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Stratagem
Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 2/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Grand Clermont
Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 132.
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Breizh River
Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 3.
• Cartmel. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 13lb. Career-high OR 131.
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Wearelongterm
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-43% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Tommie Beau
Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+140% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Imperial Data
Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
26 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Secret Secret
Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+110% better than SP · +13.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Getaway Jewel
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Rauzan
Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Blazing Court
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Imperial Merlin
Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Tamarind Bay
Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Belvedere Blast
Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Fairlawn Flyer
Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +15.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Ghasham
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 102.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Caughtinyourtrance
Cartmel · 16:19 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 2/8 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
King Roly
Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 124.
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +9.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Cuzco Du Mathan
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 31 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Handmedownastar
Cartmel · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 115.
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/4 (2.76)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Achille Des Rocs
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Pour Les Filles
Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 9/2
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 7lb below career-high OR 134.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Judicial Review
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/13 at this course.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Aill Dubh
Cartmel · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 17 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:55, 29 Aug 2026
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