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Bath

Every steam move alert fired at Bath, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
86
alerts
73%
beat SP
+3.5
avg probability points vs SP
FlatHANDICAP
Shaffron
Bath · 17:35 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:58, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Anna Belardo
Bath · 14:00 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Basilette
Bath · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Buckland Belle
Bath · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
Still 11/10 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
9 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
I Was Thinking
Bath · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Symbol Of Hope
Bath · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Up The Anti
Bath · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 9/2
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fram Castle
Bath · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Galactic Glow
Bath · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mythical Bird
Bath · 17:02 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Jackie Brown
Bath · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Starsong
Bath · 14:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +18.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Call Time
Bath · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+84% better than SP · +18.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
The Feminine Urge
Bath · 14:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 15lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Electric Bass
Bath · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+59% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
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