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Warwick

Every steam move alert fired at Warwick, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 22 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
22
alerts
79%
beat SP
+6.2
avg probability points vs SP
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Saint Arion
Warwick · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• First-time p.
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 97.
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:18, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Tralee Girl
Warwick · 15:05 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/11 → 4/7
Still 8/11 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 8/11 (1.73)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:51, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Bravethewaves
Warwick · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Culligran
Warwick · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Sixpack
Warwick · 15:05 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 13/8
Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetMGM · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 19lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Belles Benefit
Warwick · 16:48 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 1lb below career-high OR 106.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Pipers Cross
Warwick · 16:48 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Ballinoulart
Warwick · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Cappa Lass
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time hp.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Guts And Glory
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 11/8
Still 15/8 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 19lb. 2lb below career-high OR 103.
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +21.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Miracles Do Happen
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Blackwater Lilly
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. 10lb below career-high OR 104.
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Jammy Jay
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 100.
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
In The Trenches
Warwick · 13:55 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Back In The Bay
Warwick · 16:48 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Dunkerque
Warwick · 15:40 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+117% better than SP · +26.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Snipe
Warwick · 15:40 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Ballylicky Bay
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Fever Dream
Warwick · 15:40 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
23 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Warwick. 1/1 at this course.
• First run after wind surgery.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Kiwi de Cotte
Warwick · 13:55 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/10 (2.12)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Prince de Juilley
Warwick · 16:48 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Passengerontheship
Warwick · 13:55 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +11.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
King of The Story
Warwick · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Warwick. 1/3 at this course.
• First-time tp.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
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