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Stratford

Every steam move alert fired at Stratford, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
79
alerts
68%
beat SP
+3.4
avg probability points vs SP
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Parikarma
Stratford · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 18lb. 4lb below career-high OR 100.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:06, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Mayday Games
Stratford · 17:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Stratford. 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Premier Fantasy
Stratford · 18:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Porter In The Park
Stratford · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Roaring Home
Stratford · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
20 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 116.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Time To Bite
Stratford · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Western Soldier
Stratford · 17:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Notnowlinda
Stratford · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Midnite · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Quick Of The Night
Stratford · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 7/1
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Blackwater Lilly
Stratford · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. 9lb below career-high OR 104.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Breaking Cover
Stratford · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 15/8
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet
18 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+105% better than SP · +25.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Sony Bill
Stratford · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · 7Bet
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Gone In Sixty
Stratford · 18:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +17.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Mojo Ego
Stratford · 16:05 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Watchoutitscookie
Stratford · 18:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Gower Prince
Stratford · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Good vs Good To Firm. Career record: 1/8 on Good.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Raffles Nobu
Stratford · 16:05 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Huckleberry Sting
Stratford · 18:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 98.
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Dinons
Stratford · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Mc'flo
Stratford · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Connemara Joe
Stratford · 17:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-54% better than SP · -4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Jackstell
Stratford · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.25)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Sir Tivo
Stratford · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Stratford. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
At The Oche
Stratford · 16:05 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/8 (2.32)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
King's Scholar
Stratford · 16:40 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Sadies Diamond
Stratford · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Midnite · Paddy Power
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdle
Tazman Dan
Stratford · 16:40 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Pioneer Pete
Stratford · 16:40 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/10 → 4/7
25 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/7 (1.57)
SP: 1.30
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdle
Northwest Passage
Stratford · 16:40 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
20/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 14lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Lord Of The Glance
Stratford · 17:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Stratford. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +16.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Getmyfriend
Stratford · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:22, 25 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Beorma
Stratford · 18:15 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
1/2 → 2/5
Still 1/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 1/2 (1.50)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:52, 25 Aug 2026
NH Flat
On The Fly
Stratford · 19:45 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
66/1 → 33/1
Still 66/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 80/1 (90.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:34, 25 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Dreaming Of The Dr
Stratford · 17:10 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:04, 25 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Kotgar
Stratford · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:37, 25 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Delgany Second Now
Stratford · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetWright
5 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-36% better than SP · -6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:06, 25 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Bells Of Ufford
Stratford · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 8lb below career-high OR 98.
• Unproven at 2m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:06, 25 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Fox Wallace
Stratford · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
80/1 → 33/1
Still 80/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 80/1 (90.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 25 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Watchoutitscookie
Stratford · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 25 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Diamond Grace
Stratford · 17:10 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 25 Aug 2026
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