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Southwell (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Southwell (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 22 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
227
alerts
72%
beat SP
+3.3
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Urchin
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:30, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Town Queen
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:21, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Koffee And Kale
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 15 firms when alerted
Betfred · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:36, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Ma Blushin Rosie
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:39, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
My Mate Mackley
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
My Boy
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+51% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:03, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Shipbourne
Southwell (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 88.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Inside Story
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 83.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +14.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:33, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Politely
Southwell (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. 2lb below career-high OR 86.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sir Griflet
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• First-time tb.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+122% better than SP · +12.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Londoner
Southwell (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hot And Cold
Southwell (AW) · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet · BetTom · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Courageous Sioux
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 15 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Flight Tracker
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/6 → 8/15
Still 4/6 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/11 (1.70)
SP: 1.36
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +14.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Solarize
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 13lb. Career-high OR 86.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Long Shot
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
On The River
Southwell (AW) · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-41% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Darn Hot Gallop
Southwell (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Lady of Clover
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Fierce Fortitude
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 1lb below career-high OR 90.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Merry
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 79.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Moving Shadow
Southwell (AW) · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Bullet
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetTom · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hanney Girl
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-54% better than SP · -9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Afraj
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fabled Spirit
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Tryfan
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Golden Knight
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 89.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Illy's Roo
Southwell (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Brazilian Belle
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Southwell (AW). 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.75)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-62% better than SP · -7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Managing Director
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +19.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Last Flight
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 11/8
Still 2/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 57.
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +13.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Torbados
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · BetTom · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Chantelle
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Keithaar
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+200% better than SP · +33.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Kalokalo
Southwell (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Ayuq
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Edwardtheninth
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 58.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Goyard
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
News
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 22 Sept 2026
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