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Sandown

Every steam move alert fired at Sandown, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 16 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
134
alerts
70%
beat SP
+4.1
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
Centigrade
Sandown · 15:30 · 10 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:43, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Altius
Sandown · 14:20 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/11 → 8/13
Still 8/11 at 16 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Bet Victor · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · Midnite · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 43% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/5 (1.78)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +9.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Enchant
Sandown · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:42, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Mohaab
Sandown · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Imperial Nation
Sandown · 14:20 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Control Room
Sandown · 13:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Withtearsinmyeyes
Sandown · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 81.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Kingdom of Kush
Sandown · 14:20 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Chymbulak
Sandown · 14:55 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Barbury Boy
Sandown · 16:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sweet Horizon
Sandown · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 68.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Albertini Star
Sandown · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Pangbourne
Sandown · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Asset
Sandown · 16:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 13/2
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 79.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+90% better than SP · +9.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Oh Yes You Do
Sandown · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
11 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Hierax
Sandown · 14:20 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Raspoutine
Sandown · 16:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Nahraan
Sandown · 15:30 · 10 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Secret Handsheikh
Sandown · 13:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Good Earth
Sandown · 13:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
16 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Zoustar Dreams
Sandown · 13:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Star Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ardnamurchan
Sandown · 13:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Cerro Blanco
Sandown · 15:30 · 10 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Betfred · Unibet · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet
8 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 43% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
United Authority
Sandown · 14:55 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+110% better than SP · +13.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Hint of Humour
Sandown · 13:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+109% better than SP · +16.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Brighton Beach
Sandown · 16:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/4 (3.30)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Chapron
Sandown · 14:55 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 7Bet · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Luminare
Sandown · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kimeko Glory
Sandown · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Saint Of Seville
Sandown · 14:55 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Paddy Power
9 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +14.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Edwin Hubble
Sandown · 16:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 3/1
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Sandown. 1/2 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Talitha Rouge
Sandown · 17:10 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
23 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Mythological Star
Sandown · 16:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Lyra Lea
Sandown · 16:57 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Sandown. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:25, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Philanthropist
Sandown · 16:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:55, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Duke Of Burgundy
Sandown · 15:47 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+125% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:31, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Dream Vega
Sandown · 16:57 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:16, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Valdoro
Sandown · 14:01 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.55)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+112% better than SP · +11.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:40, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Plan C
Sandown · 17:32 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Havana Smile
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Sandown. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
• Up 9lb. 3lb below career-high OR 77.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 11 Sept 2026
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