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Salisbury

Every steam move alert fired at Salisbury, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 11 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
117
alerts
71%
beat SP
+4.1
avg probability points vs SP
⚪ LOWFlat
Burningringoffire
Salisbury · 15:41 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:37, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Vestre Moon
Salisbury · 15:41 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:10, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Supreme King
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 2/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:16, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Waaqed
Salisbury · 15:41 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:25, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Maid In Devon
Salisbury · 16:16 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 2/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Red Snapper
Salisbury · 16:16 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Miss Guinevere
Salisbury · 18:28 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Quickthorn
Salisbury · 17:58 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 9/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Nightime Dancer
Salisbury · 17:58 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 10/1
Still 16/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
The Quiet Gent
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rare Change
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 9lb below career-high OR 91.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Tenbob Tommy
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sergeant Pep
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fanciulla Del West
Salisbury · 18:28 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Persian Land
Salisbury · 17:26 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +14.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Amiloc
Salisbury · 17:58 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
Still 11/10 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +23.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
New Oxford
Salisbury · 15:41 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bold Shout
Salisbury · 16:16 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Salisbury. 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/4 (2.70)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +13.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Courage Best
Salisbury · 17:26 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:55, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Takeitorleaveit
Salisbury · 18:28 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Betano · BetTom · Midnite · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Grapple
Salisbury · 17:26 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• First-time b.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Baldomero
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 12lb below career-high OR 92.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Colourband
Salisbury · 17:24 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:21, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fleetwater
Salisbury · 16:49 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:48, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Zen Diva
Salisbury · 16:49 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 16 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 2/2 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +10.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:36, 3 Sept 2026
FlatGroup 3
Dark Issue
Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:51, 3 Sept 2026
FlatGroup 3
Harlequin Sky
Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Aleatrix
Salisbury · 17:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Salisbury. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 87.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:09, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
A La Noche
Salisbury · 13:53 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:51, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Redbud Sixteen
Salisbury · 17:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 85.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:18, 3 Sept 2026
FlatGroup 3
Miss Lizzy
Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
50/1 → 28/1
Still 50/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Boyfriend
Salisbury · 17:24 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 92.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Decalogue
Salisbury · 13:53 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 16 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:27, 3 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Thi Qar
Salisbury · 15:39 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kamaway
Salisbury · 17:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 3 Sept 2026
FlatGroup 3
Nuit d'Eclair
Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Hereward
Salisbury · 15:03 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +16.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Leonardo Blu
Salisbury · 17:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.45)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 3 Sept 2026
FlatGroup 3
Love Is
Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
8/1 → 15/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 3 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Concurrent
Salisbury · 15:39 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 13/2
Still 17/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Betano · BetWright · Smarkets · Matchbook · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 3 Sept 2026
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