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Punchestown

Every steam move alert fired at Punchestown, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 15 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
33
alerts
65%
beat SP
+3.6
avg probability points vs SP
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Miss Americana
Punchestown · 17:13 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:43, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Saliba
Punchestown · 15:40 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:16, 15 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Tero d'Rosa
Punchestown · 17:13 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 4lb below career-high OR 63.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:58, 15 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Noble Exhibit
Punchestown · 14:10 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:55, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sanctijude
Punchestown · 16:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 11/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 6lb below career-high OR 84.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:46, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rest Your Mind
Punchestown · 16:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:28, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Signor Ferrari
Punchestown · 16:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. 13lb below career-high OR 71.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +12.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:19, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Wunderschon
Punchestown · 13:40 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +9.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:16, 15 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Rampage
Punchestown · 16:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 14 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:10, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Vico Road
Punchestown · 15:40 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-56% better than SP · -6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Patrick Street
Punchestown · 16:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Arizona Star
Punchestown · 16:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
The Good Wife
Punchestown · 13:40 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+150% better than SP · +20.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 15 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Silver Kiss
Punchestown · 13:40 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Believe Believe
Punchestown · 17:13 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 15 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Nephin Mountain
Punchestown · 17:13 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 58.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Golden Splendour
Punchestown · 15:10 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
17/2 → 6/1
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+122% better than SP · +12.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 15 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Flash Of Fire
Punchestown · 14:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Motta Alta
Punchestown · 14:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Midnite
5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 15 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Medieval Night
Punchestown · 17:13 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Queen Of The Bogs
Punchestown · 15:10 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Exceptionally
Punchestown · 13:40 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 6/5
Still 11/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
8 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/4 (2.48)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 15 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Fleur De Provence
Punchestown · 15:40 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-45% better than SP · -6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Dial Me In
Punchestown · 15:10 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Francillon
Punchestown · 14:10 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
7 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 15 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Back Straight
Punchestown · 15:40 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/4 → 1/1
Still 5/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook
5 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/4 (2.26)
SP: 1.30
Beat SP: Yes
+74% better than SP · +32.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Dancinginthecity
Punchestown · 14:10 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 14 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Neo Smart
Punchestown · 16:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Harana
Punchestown · 16:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Zaraahmando
Punchestown · 14:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 15 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Minella Rockett
Punchestown · 15:10 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/5 → 1/1
Still 6/5 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
8 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 100% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 88.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/5 (2.20)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ohmali
Punchestown · 16:40 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 5/1
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 7lb below career-high OR 67.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 15 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dress Dance
Punchestown · 17:13 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 15 Sept 2026
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