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Plumpton

Every steam move alert fired at Plumpton, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 20 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
25
alerts
83%
beat SP
+7.1
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Akrramm
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Premier Fantasy
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 18 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
4 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 1/1 (2.02)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 20 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN
Rhythm of Life
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
• Trainer in form. 100% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:12, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPNH Flat
Missy Moises
Plumpton · 17:08 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:27, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Galeforcechopper
Plumpton · 14:08 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 14lb. Career-high OR 99.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:45, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Farhh Echo
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 23lb. 10lb below career-high OR 101.
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +25.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:06, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN
Golden Garden
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 22lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Khalk'eau Spigao
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPNH Flat
Kap In Hand
Plumpton · 17:08 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+99% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
One Dimensional
Plumpton · 15:08 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Aggagio
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 30lb. 15lb below career-high OR 110.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
A Tickatickatiming
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Stage Show
Plumpton · 15:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 19lb. 3lb below career-high OR 79.
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Jefe Triunfo
Plumpton · 15:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN
Raulin
Plumpton · 14:38 · 3 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 18lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Gower Prince
Plumpton · 16:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
Risks
• Good vs Good To Firm. Career record: 1/9 on Good.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Mojito des Mottes
Plumpton · 16:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 6/4
Still 2/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -10.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Mancero
Plumpton · 15:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Risks
• Up 16lb. 3lb below career-high OR 100.
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Nap Hand
Plumpton · 16:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 9/4
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 118.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Pooroldmackley
Plumpton · 15:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 6lb below career-high OR 89.
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Siorai
Plumpton · 14:08 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/5 → 1/1
10 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 15lb. 4lb below career-high OR 101.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
French Diablo
Plumpton · 15:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +5.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Anxious Moments
Plumpton · 16:38 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-34% better than SP · -5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Arcturus Flame
Plumpton · 14:38 · 3 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 25lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 1.29
Beat SP: Yes
+152% better than SP · +46.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Eternal Angel
Plumpton · 16:08 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
21 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +10.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Getarose
Plumpton · 14:08 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
22 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +11.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Sept 2026
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