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Newmarket

Every steam move alert fired at Newmarket, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 19 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
32
alerts
72%
beat SP
+3.1
avg probability points vs SP
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Waistcoat
Newmarket · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Quinn Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Lily Pink
Newmarket · 13:15 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+140% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:10, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Prosperity
Newmarket · 13:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:22, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Cherry Cobbler
Newmarket · 14:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
15 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newmarket. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 82.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:34, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Rapide Vega
Newmarket · 17:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 15lb. Career-high OR 75.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:34, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Triple Force
Newmarket · 17:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newmarket. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 13lb. 4lb below career-high OR 76.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:31, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Explosive Finnish
Newmarket · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Santushti
Newmarket · 16:55 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Thaluna
Newmarket · 13:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Northcliff
Newmarket · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Humphrey
Newmarket · 16:55 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/8 → 6/4
Still 15/8 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rocking Ends
Newmarket · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 6lb below career-high OR 93.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Alaminos
Newmarket · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
25 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 3lb below career-high OR 85.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Catonahottinroof
Newmarket · 13:15 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 25/1 (25.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Super Crown
Newmarket · 16:55 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First run after wind surgery.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sierra Sands
Newmarket · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 7/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newmarket. 2/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Zatsgood
Newmarket · 17:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 18lb. Career-high OR 82.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Old Is Gold
Newmarket · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 88.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Nostrum
Newmarket · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Golden Strike
Newmarket · 14:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Miletus
Newmarket · 14:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newmarket. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Allegiance
Newmarket · 14:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Amazonica
Newmarket · 16:55 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Star Start
Newmarket · 17:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Flower Show
Newmarket · 13:15 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/9 → 4/11
Still 4/9 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/9 (1.45)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Food For Thought
Newmarket · 13:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 84.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Stormy Music
Newmarket · 13:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Percy Shelley
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 11/4
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Gooloogong
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 13/8
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 35lb below career-high OR 124.
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Appier
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Empire
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 11/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Squire Danagher
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Premiere Ligne
Newmarket · 16:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 5/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Hardy's Hero
Newmarket · 14:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 15/2
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 82.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
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