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Musselburgh

Every steam move alert fired at Musselburgh, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 12 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
88
alerts
75%
beat SP
+3.4
avg probability points vs SP
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Supremissy
Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 56.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:18, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Masaban
Musselburgh · 18:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 16 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:17, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Lexington Boom
Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:14, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Yermanthere
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 8lb below career-high OR 81.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:53, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Star People
Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 77.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:14, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Minaun View
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:08, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Approaching Dawn
Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:07, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Vegasmile
Musselburgh · 16:42 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:49, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Book Of Life
Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:19, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Hale Bopp
Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 8lb below career-high OR 50.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:19, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Fern Clyde
Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · William Hill · Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sunriseontheboyne
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 8 firms when alerted
William Hill · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 10lb below career-high OR 84.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:52, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Our Nicola
Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Penelope's Sister
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:31, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Style Of Life
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 77.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:28, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fast Fred
Musselburgh · 18:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:19, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Wrestling Revenue
Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 12lb below career-high OR 66.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ski Angel
Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/9 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Black Storm
Musselburgh · 18:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Royal Strike
Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Boxing Great
Musselburgh · 18:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +19.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Falcon Queen
Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Eagles Dream
Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
King Sharja
Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Trojan Sun
Musselburgh · 18:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · BetWright · Matchbook · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/10 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Callianassa
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 9lb below career-high OR 84.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Vince Le Prince
Musselburgh · 18:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Motawaared
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thats My Boy Luke
Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Mayor Of Maghera
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Extragalactic
Musselburgh · 16:42 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/6 → 4/7
Still 4/6 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/6 (1.69)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Needin' U
Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Royal Duke
Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 61.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Albegone
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 15 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite
9 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:19, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Vitality
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:54, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Positive Thoughts
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:33, 25 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Threeoclockflyer
Musselburgh · 14:15 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: No
-49% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gallus Norman
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 20/1 (22.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:21, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Vaguely Royal
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 42lb below career-high OR 115.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dalamara
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 25 Aug 2026
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