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Kempton (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Kempton (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 23 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
266
alerts
76%
beat SP
+4.3
avg probability points vs SP
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Crossbar
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Quinn Bet
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:12, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Threelittleangels
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Paddy Power
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 46% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:30, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Wig Wam Bam
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom
16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:18, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Duchess of Immatin
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Too Too Divine
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 71.
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Searchingtheblues
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 26lb below career-high OR 87.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Kodiac City
Kempton (AW) · 16:20 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/11 → 8/13
Still 8/11 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/11 (1.73)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +13.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Wardlaw
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +13.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Generous Rascal
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Kempton (AW). 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 13lb below career-high OR 78.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sansanetti
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Goomah
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 9lb below career-high OR 77.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Luansobe
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Methgal
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+96% better than SP · +17.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Chapman's Peak
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetTom · Matchbook · Betano · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Kempton (AW). 2/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Letter To Hermione
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Joseph
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +10.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Freda
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Thinthread
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 6lb below career-high OR 88.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sunshine And Roses
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Aphrodite Spirit
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 46% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Physique
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 86.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Penfolds Grange
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• First-time v.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Classical Allusion
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 6lb below career-high OR 85.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Dontspoilasale
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 14lb below career-high OR 79.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
What's The Plan
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Protectrix
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 68.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Metal Merchant
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Donegan
Kempton (AW) · 16:20 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 18 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Betfred · BetMGM · Star Sports · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-47% better than SP · -9.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Show Me Glory
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
Still 11/10 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Eyes Front
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Chalk Mountain
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 2/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fast Steps
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Pure Concept
Kempton (AW) · 16:55 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/3 → 1/4
4 firms had already cut to 1/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/4 (1.25)
SP: 1.10
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Arundel
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Playing Card
Kempton (AW) · 16:20 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Paddy Power · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+140% better than SP · +15.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Astronette
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Midnite · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:12, 14 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Virtue Diligence
Kempton (AW) · 17:00 · 2 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
Permanent record · Fired 13:39, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Guadalevin
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:36, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Solar Swing
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Hollywood Bets
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:18, 14 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Snooker McCrew
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:57, 14 Sept 2026
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