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Kelso

Every steam move alert fired at Kelso, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 16 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
23
alerts
50%
beat SP
+2.6
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMNH Flat
Arc Kunoichi
Kelso · 18:55 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:21, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Fairlawn Skipper
Kelso · 17:55 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 7/4
Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 108.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +7.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:42, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Heart Above
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kelso. 3/9 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:15, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Handmedownastar
Kelso · 16:55 · 2 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:06, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Duke of Luckley
Kelso · 18:25 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+51% better than SP · +12.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:03, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Starlyte
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:36, 16 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Dream's Ka
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Bold Light
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Continuance
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+113% better than SP · +14.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMNH Flat
Lady Scarphia
Kelso · 18:55 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Garde des Champs
Kelso · 18:25 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Struth
Kelso · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 9lb below career-high OR 98.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPNH Flat
Going On
Kelso · 18:55 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
14 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Loriko
Kelso · 17:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 126.
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Rockstown Girl
Kelso · 17:55 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 13lb below career-high OR 121.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Fine Point
Kelso · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +20.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Scots Poet
Kelso · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Kelso. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Conquer The Breeze
Kelso · 18:25 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 10/11 (1.92)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 16 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Hijo de La Luna
Kelso · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 16lb. 11lb below career-high OR 97.
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Hoe Joly Smoke
Kelso · 16:55 · 2 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/2 → 1/3
Still 1/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 1/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 9lb below career-high OR 131.
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 8/15 (1.53)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Moonlightinthepark
Kelso · 17:55 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPNH Flat
Cape Warrior
Kelso · 18:55 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 18 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Betfair Sportsbook · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetWright
8 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/4 (2.54)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +13.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Limerick Leader
Kelso · 17:55 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
11 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 100.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 16 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Cawthorne Cracker
Kelso · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 7/4
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 16 Sept 2026
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