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Chepstow

Every steam move alert fired at Chepstow, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 31 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
95
alerts
75%
beat SP
+4.9
avg probability points vs SP
FlatHANDICAP
Magna
Chepstow · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:35, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Eutropia
Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Quinn Bet
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:02, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fullstop
Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 16/1
Still 20/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 28/1 (28.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:23, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Margorie
Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lady Margret
Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 20/1
25 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Vape
Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 22/1
Still 40/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Big Moonrise
Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
50/1 → 25/1
Still 50/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Nammos
Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · 10 Bet
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Lucky Radar
Chepstow · 14:55 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Eye Of The Water
Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+117% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ashford Hill
Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+124% better than SP · +6.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Talis Evolvere
Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
26 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Ischgl
Chepstow · 14:20 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 6/5
Still 11/8 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/8 (2.34)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +19.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Savannah Smiles
Chepstow · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Revelance
Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Thanos
Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Persian Gate
Chepstow · 14:55 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/6 → 4/6
Still 5/6 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Star Sports · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +17.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Level Up
Chepstow · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/6 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Washington Royale
Chepstow · 14:20 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Liberate
Chepstow · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 17lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Staywitherjohnny
Chepstow · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Beechwood Glory
Chepstow · 14:20 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Naval Cop
Chepstow · 13:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Devon Angel
Chepstow · 13:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +10.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Our Fella
Chepstow · 13:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Angel's Call
Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Meet Me In Meraki
Chepstow · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+74% better than SP · +14.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
A Rose Adaay
Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+129% better than SP · +16.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Auburn Avenue
Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Connie's Rose
Chepstow · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
25 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/16 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Spirit Of The Bay
Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/7 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ghost Story
Chepstow · 17:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ajrad
Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/11 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Geemann
Chepstow · 14:55 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Aplaceinthesun
Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
The Bureau Club
Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lady V
Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Escape Magic
Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rovinia
Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
16 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Crystal Kraken
Chepstow · 13:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 1/1
Still 5/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +20.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
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