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Carlisle

Every steam move alert fired at Carlisle, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 9 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
107
alerts
73%
beat SP
+4.3
avg probability points vs SP
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Monsieur Kodi
Carlisle · 17:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:16, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Albegone
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:58, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
State Of Gold
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · Betano
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:51, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Zermatt Star
Carlisle · 16:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:42, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Harper Violet
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +10.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Blue Hercules
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Social Spirit
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Harlequin Gift
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Orfilia
Carlisle · 14:12 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Cotai Starlight
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Impierious
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Donald
Carlisle · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
North Star Kodi
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Caturra Lights
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Zous Juice
Carlisle · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Funky Dory
Carlisle · 14:12 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hostility
Carlisle · 16:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Carlisle. 2/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+160% better than SP · +21.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sandy Craic
Carlisle · 17:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Carlisle. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Bibendum
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fast Performer
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• First-time t.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Never Dark
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Leopards Rock
Carlisle · 17:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Little Beck Annie
Carlisle · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Carlisle. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+68% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Royal Duke
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Carlisle. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Act Of Generosity
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+102% better than SP · +19.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tee Aitch Aye
Carlisle · 16:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Flagbearer
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Barley
Carlisle · 16:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bay Breeze
Carlisle · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
One Night Thunder
Carlisle · 17:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Carlisle. 2/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Sunset Cove
Carlisle · 14:12 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +8.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fan Mail
Carlisle · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• First-time v.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Midnight Lir
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Runninsonofagun
Carlisle · 17:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lightning Galaxy
Carlisle · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:19, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bibendum
Carlisle · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 3lb below career-high OR 62.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:51, 27 Aug 2026
Flat
Blazing Inferno
Carlisle · 14:30 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:21, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Aurora Valkyrie
Carlisle · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:09, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rory's Gold
Carlisle · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Epidavros
Carlisle · 14:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 17lb. 8lb below career-high OR 74.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 27 Aug 2026
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