HorseWhaleHorseWhale

← All racecourses

Ayr

Every steam move alert fired at Ayr, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 19 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
98
alerts
81%
beat SP
+4.2
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Tyrrhenian Thunder
Ayr · 16:15 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet
13 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Risks
• Heavy vs Good To Soft. First run on this going.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:54, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Dance In The Storm
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:22, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 3
Etonnante
Ayr · 15:05 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
17/2 → 13/2
Still 17/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:49, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatListed
El Burhan
Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/1 at this course.
• First-time tb.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:52, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
Grey Cuban
Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:25, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 3
Ruby Moon
Ayr · 15:05 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:19, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Blakefell
Ayr · 16:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:07, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Cotai Belle
Ayr · 16:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Midnite · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet
13 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 81.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:07, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Son
Ayr · 16:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 17/2
Still 12/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom
17 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+93% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:07, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dwindling Funds
Ayr · 16:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 4/13 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:07, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Quest For Fun
Ayr · 16:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 5/1
Still 7/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Star Sports · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 4lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:07, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Dark Issue
Ayr · 15:05 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:04, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatListed
Ice Max
Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 3
Silent Beauty
Ayr · 15:05 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite
6 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+102% better than SP · +29.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
High Stock
Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Amir Lehbab
Ayr · 16:15 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/4 → 11/8
Still 6/4 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.74)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +27.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Desert Falcon
Ayr · 14:30 · 23 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 97.
RESULT
LOST · finished 17
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Ecureuil Secret
Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Rogue Constelation
Ayr · 16:15 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Boyle Sports · BetTom · Midnite · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Far Above Dream
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · 10 Bet
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Fast Tracker
Ayr · 13:55 · 6 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Binhareer
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Jannas Journey
Ayr · 16:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Betfred · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 3/9 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 19 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Toyotomi
Ayr · 14:30 · 23 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Golden Souk
Ayr · 16:15 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 19 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sailthisshipalone
Ayr · 16:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Spoken Truth
Ayr · 13:20 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ebony Maw
Ayr · 17:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/6 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:15, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Territorial Knight
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 20
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Milford
Ayr · 15:40 · 24 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 9lb below career-high OR 96.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:36, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Little Ted
Ayr · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:52, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Hickory Lad
Ayr · 14:30 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:07, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Sanafi Zabeel
Ayr · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Off Spin
Ayr · 17:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Necromancer
Ayr · 13:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:24, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
Heavenly Heather
Ayr · 15:05 · 14 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:22, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Dance A Jig
Ayr · 14:30 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:22, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Bai Tong
Ayr · 13:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Thats My Boy Luke
Ayr · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+19% better than SP · +1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Mr Moonshine
Ayr · 17:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Virgin Bet
19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 18 Sept 2026
Older →
Alerts land in Telegram first. Get free alerts on Telegram