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Ascot

Every steam move alert fired at Ascot, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
53
alerts
66%
beat SP
+2.3
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Fast Track Harry
Ascot · 16:35 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · Betano
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:09, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Manatee Mehmas
Ascot · 17:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Law Court
Ascot · 15:25 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:57, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Havana Blue
Ascot · 16:35 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:15, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Nanino Niyati
Ascot · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:54, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Asheyra
Ascot · 14:45 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:39, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Decade Of Time
Ascot · 14:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Dyonisos
Ascot · 17:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
True Test
Ascot · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Kahin
Ascot · 15:25 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Two Tribes
Ascot · 13:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Mubasimah
Ascot · 13:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Golden Mind
Ascot · 16:35 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ghost Mode
Ascot · 13:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 5 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Garfield Shadow
Ascot · 16:35 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Archers Bay
Ascot · 14:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Star Sports · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Heyzoom
Ascot · 14:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Smarkets · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thunder Call
Ascot · 13:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
Still 11/10 at 4 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Smarkets · BetTom · Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.14)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 5 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Electrifarhh
Ascot · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Rosa Inglesa
Ascot · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.65)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Luna Celeste
Ascot · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Gavriel
Ascot · 15:25 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
22 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-36% better than SP · -15.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Seren Star
Ascot · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Star Sports
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Pensando A Te
Ascot · 14:45 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · 7Bet · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lion of Alba
Ascot · 15:25 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Addison Grey
Ascot · 13:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetWright · 10 Bet
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sapphire Steps
Ascot · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:10, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Clarity
Ascot · 15:05 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/2 → 5/2
22 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.63)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:02, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Claudette
Ascot · 15:05 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:17, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Worthawhistle
Ascot · 14:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:11, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
First Legion
Ascot · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Betano · BetWright · Matchbook · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 8lb below career-high OR 95.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:47, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Luansobe
Ascot · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:44, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Moonfall
Ascot · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:14, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Soldier Of The Sea
Ascot · 15:40 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:59, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Kaguyahime
Ascot · 15:05 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:53, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Golden Brown
Ascot · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:38, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
San Jose
Ascot · 14:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +12.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:23, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Zennor Storm
Ascot · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Arctic Thunder
Ascot · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betfred · Matchbook · Betano · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright
13 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:08, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Atmosphere
Ascot · 13:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 73.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:59, 4 Sept 2026
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