⚪ LOWFlat
Laytown · 16:39 · 10 runners · Other
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 3lb below career-high OR 66.
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Gowran Park · 17:00 · 15 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Gowran Park. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 66.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Flat
Roscommon · 17:10 · 10 runners · Other
5 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Gowran Park · 17:22 · 16 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · BestOdds
25 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.75
BSP: 3.90
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +11.3 probability points
