🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 17:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 7/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 54.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 16:06 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Flat
Yarmouth · 17:00 · 9 runners · Other
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 6.30
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Flat
Lingfield (AW) · 18:58 · 8 runners · Other
17 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 15:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 6.47
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
